Showing posts with label World Cup 2010. Show all posts
Showing posts with label World Cup 2010. Show all posts

Thursday, July 22, 2010

FIFA World Ranking Top 20: July 2010

Rank (previous) Team Points Comment
1 (2) Spain 1883 Back on top for the World Champions
2 (4) Netherlands 1659 #2 in the world again
3(1) Brazil 1536 Expected better
4 (6) Germany 1464 Great effort but run into Spain
5 (7) Argentina 1289 Great talent; Entertaining coach; Not good enough.
6 (16) Uruguay 1152 A great run with Diego Forlan leading the way.
7 (8) England 1125 High ranking for a team that sucked and whined.
8 (3) Portugal 1062 Pretty fair.
9 (12) Egypt 1053 Highest ranking ever (for staying home to watch TV)
10 (18) Chile 988 Good run. Lost to Brazilin the round of 16.
11 (5) Italy 982 Two ties (New Zealand??) and 1 loss…
12 (13) Greece 975 One win against a good team maintained the rank.
13 (14) USA 969 They deserved a higher ranking
13 (15) Serbia 969 A win over Germany will get you a lot of points!
15 (10) Croatia 968 Lost ground (for staying home to watch TV)
16 (31) Paraguay 961 Meteoric rise after losing to Spain in the quarterfinals
17(11) Russia 956 Stayed home; Watched TV.
18 (24) Switzerland 940 Win (over Spain) and tie: +6 spots.
19 (25) Slovenia 917 A decent run and the highest ranking ever
20 (20) Australia 911 A win and a tie. Not bad for a team from Oceania!

I was actually surprised that Greece maintained its position but it came against a former top 20 team.

Spain is rightly the number 1.

Holland deserves to be number 2.

Uruguay could have been higher.

England should have been lower.

Why did Egypt go up?

Why did Russia go down?

France dropped 12 spots and out of the top 20. The way the played they were easily the worst team of the 2010 World Cup.

The latest full table can be found at the FIFA World Ranking website.

Sunday, July 11, 2010

World Cup 2010 Final: Netherlands 0 - Spain 1

Spain is #1! They beat Holland in extra time with a marvelous goal by Iniesta (116th minute.) It was a tough game with both teams missing several chances to score. Credit goes to both goalkeepers (Stekelenburg and Casillas) for playing so well. Stekelenburg could do nothing to stop the goal by Iniesta.

The Spaniards have been ranked #1 for months and after a great campaign (7 games with one fluke loss to Switzerland) they proved they deserve to be called 'best in the world.' Well done!

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

World Cup 2010 Finals: Greece 0 – Argentina 2

Finito! A loss to Argentina by the score of two-nil ended the 2010 World Cup campaign for Greece. The goal-scorers were Martin Demichelis (77’) and Martin Palermo (89’). Argentina was obviously the better team and had a number of scoring chances with 12 shots on goal. And they lined up with much of their bench!! However Greece tried hard, was a bit unlucky (since Rehhagel had to use all three substitutions for injured players), and had a couple of decent chances.

The formation was defensive (5-4-1) with Samaras being the only striker. I assume the strategy for Greece was to play good defense with counter-attacks in order to get out of the game with a tie and then hope that Nigeria would take care of South Korea. Should Greece have lined up with a more offensive formation? Do or die? Possibly. Nevertheless it was not a bad strategy and it almost worked. Nigeria had a lot of chances but could not convert. Greece held Argentina in check for most of the game but in the end could not withstand the barrage of attacks. Tzorvas, the Greek goalkeeper, played very well today. None of the two goals were his fault.

Though in the end it was three games and out for Greece, there is a certain satisfaction with the way the team played. Granted, in the first game against South Korea the team was awful. That was the game that cost Greece the qualification to the round of 16. It is unfortunate because they played really well against Nigeria and held their own against powerhouse Argentina. The team gave Greeks a sense of pride.

I think the most important aspect of this World Cup, other than the first goals and first win, was that there a number of good young players that can step up  and with proper coaching deliver good performances. We will need that in two years!!

Congratulation to Greece for their effort.

For posterity, the starting eleven players of today’s game:

Top row, left-to-right: Vyntra, Papastathopoulos, Moras, Tziolis, Kyrgiakos, Tzorvas.

Bottom row, left-to-right: Papadopoulos, Katsouranis, Torosidis, Karagounis, Samaras.

Sunday, June 20, 2010

World Cup 2010 Finals: France Disarray

I take the characterization ‘disarray’ I used to describe past Greece performances back. It does not apply to Greece. It definitely applies to France.

Nicolas Anelka has a shouting match with his coach, he gets expelled from the team, the players refuse to train in protest, the team director resigns in disgust, and the team captain talked to reporters about a ‘traitor that hurts France’ and needs to be eliminated!

I am wondering what he has in mind about the ‘elimination’ part…

Not only the France had to cheat their way to the World Cup finals, they are so bad they cannot keep it together for 15 days. The ‘hand of Gaul’ brought bad karma. You cannot make that stuff up!!

So far they are the worst team participating in the World Cup!

ESPN.com: Striker Anelka dismissed by French

ESPN.com: France director resigns amid disarray

Goal.com: France Training Session Halted Following Altercation; Squad Backing Anelka

Thursday, June 17, 2010

World Cup 2010 Finals: Greece 2 – Nigeria 1

FINALLY! GOAL(S)! AND A WIN!!

After four tries and four bad performances in two World Cups Greece scored twice and won over Nigeria in a game that was possibly decided on a bad decision of a Nigerian player. Sani Kaita kicked Torosidis and saw a straight red card; That was a big moment in the game. From that point on Greece became an aggressive, attacking team and it took another brilliant performance by Vincent Enyeama, the Nigerian keeper, to keep the game close and the Nigerians in the game. You could argue that playing 11 vs 10 is an automatic win but that is not true (e.g. see France 0 – Uruguay 0.)

Greece had 10 shots on goal (versus 3 for Nigeria) the most by any team in this World Cup. Greece also had the ball 60% of the time and 11 corners (versus 3 for Nigeria). I can only assume that the ejection of the Nigerian player boosted the confidence of the Greek players. Greece was in a desperate position, they smelled blood, and they responded. They pushed forward relentlessly and they scored two goals and thus the first victory for Greece in a World Cup.

The ESPN GameCast showed that the average position of the Greeks was in the Nigerian half.

GreeceVSNigeria_GR GreeceVSNigeria_NI

Kudos to Coach Rehhagel for:

  • Fielding the youngest ever Greece line-up at the World Cup (average age: 28 years, 46 days).
  • Replacing Seitaridis, Samaras, and Charisteas with Papastathopoulos, Kyrgiakos, and Salpingidis in the starting line-up.
  • Taking advantage of the situation immediately and substituting a defender (Papastathopoulos) for a forward (Samaras) and changing the formation to a more attacking one (4-3-3.)

The goals:

The first ever goal scored by Greece in a World Cup was by Salpingidis in the 44th minute. Salpingidis shot from the edge of the box, the ball deflected of a Nigerian player and flew in the upper left corner of the goalpost.

GreeceVSNigeria_GR013 GreeceVSNigeria_GR01   GreeceVSNigeria_GR012

GreeceVSNigeria_GR014

The second goal was scored by Torosidis in the 71st minute. Alexandros Tziolis took a low shot from way outside the box(he is not very shy about taking long shots), Enyeama tried to scoop the ball up, lost it, and Torosidis was there to take control of the ball and score.

GreeceVSNigeria_GR021 GreeceVSNigeria_GR02

This game has been a welcome change!

CONGRATULATION GREECE!

Reports:

ESPN.com: Greece rallies to win after Nigeria's Kaita is sent off

IN.gr: Ιστορική νίκη-ανατροπή της Εθνικής με 2-1 επί της Νιγηρίας

GOAL.com: World Cup 2010: Greece 2-1 Nigeria: Greece Make History With Win Over 10-Man Nigeria

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

World Cup 2010: The Aerodynamics Of Jabulani II

It was reported yesterday that Adidas, through the mouth of PR spokesman Thomas Schaikvan, seemed to have conceded that Jabulani behaves differently at the high altitude of some venues. Apparently he said that "… playing at altitude is not the same as playing at sea level. That is just plain science."


Fine, you can't do much about the altitude factor. The problem is that at 3000 meters (e.g. in Johannesburg) the density of air is about 0.9 kgr/m^3.


As in the previous post, assume that the standard size 5 smooth ball (about 0.23 m in diameter) would fly in air at an altitude of 3000 meters (constant r = 0.9 kgr/m^3 and air temperature at 25C) at 90 km/hr (25 m/sec) then the Re would equal:


Re = 0.9 * 25 *0.23 /1002e-6 = 5.2e+3


That is quite a bit of difference versus Re at sea level and the ridges would cause a different behavior. You add the possible effects from some weight variation (recommended air pressure is 11.6-14.5 psi) and the ball trajectory would be quite a bit different from one game to the next!

Thomas Schaikvan also mentioned that Adidas made the ball available to all teams 4 months in advance of the start of the World Cup but most teams did not take advantage of it and did not train with it. Among other things he mentioned: ''We presented the technology and underlined the requirement to get used to it because it is a different ball and a different technology.''

I guess my question is:

When did it become a requirement to adjust the game to a soccer ball? What is next? Adjust the game to Adidas-made rubber goalposts?

Related articles:

TribalFootbal.com: Adidas claim altitude not ball design responsible for keeper errors

The Sydney Morning Herald: Adidas says it warned teams about the Jabulani

Saturday, June 12, 2010

World Cup 2010 Finals: South Korea 2 – Greece 0

An awful game for Greece and a well deserved win for S. Korea. A goal by Lee Jung Soo in the 7th minute to open the score and a second by Park Ji Sung in the 52nd minute to seal the deal.

Greece was worse than I could imagine. It seemed like the players did not know what to do with ball. The players just kept the ball and tried to outmaneuver the much quicker Koreans. No passing, no organization, no real effort to move the ball forward. At times the ball was moved from outside the S. Korean box back to mid-field and close to Greek box!! Today’s effort (or lack thereof) brought to mind the memories from the 1994 World Cup.

The second Korean goal was a perfect example of having a mental block during the game: Loukas Vyntra was in possession of the ball and took an eternity to decide what to do with it. In the meantime, Park Ji Sung quickly pounced on the ball stole it from Vyntra and quickly run into the penalty area and shot past Alexandros Tzorvas into the Greek goal.

The strikers were not only totally disconnected from mid-field but they also squandered the few opportunities created (except an amazing save on a blazing shot by Gekas in the 82nd minute.) Even the set pieces that were supposed to be a strength for Greece was rendered a meaningless endeavor.  Greece executed 11 corners and not one of them was even close to Jung Sung Ryong’s goal. No one took any chance; And when you take chances good things happen. It looked like the team was unprepared for such an important game.

After the game Coach Rehhagel said: “We really have to get our act together. We’ve got to improve a couple of things and be brave and courageous.” Improve ‘a couple of things’ is a serious understatement. We need a defense, a strong mid-field, aggressive strikers, team mentality, faster execution, established plays, etc.

Theoretically that was the easiest game for Greece so barring two miracles Greece will fulfill expectations and go three-and-out. Congratulations to South Korea.

For posterity, the starting eleven players of today’s game:

Top row, left-to-right: Charisteas, Vyntra, Papadopoulos, Katsouranis, Tzorvas, Tziolis.

Bottom row, left-to-right: Gekas, Karagounis, Torosidis, Seitaridis, Samaras.

Korea 2 - Greece 0

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

World Cup 2010 Friendly: Greece 0 – Paraguay 2

So that was it! The last preparation game for Greece just 10 days before the first real game against South Korea and it was a disappointing one. Much like the game against North Korea the defense was in a bad shape. The word ‘disarray’ comes to mind.

Coach Rehhagel said after the game that he drew useful conclusions from today’s game and he now knows how to play against South Korea. He also said that: ‘Our target is to be in good shape so that we win over South Korea. We have to be ready and play a strong game starting from the first minute.’

It is not obvious to me how Otto Rehhagel is going to put together a cohesive unit that plays strong, solid, disciplined defense in a short amount of time. We certainly have very good players but they seemed lost on the pitch trying to react instead of dictating the tempo, stumping all efforts, and grinding down their opponents. The players spend a lot of time defending close to the goal and a couple of times they cleared the ball on the goal line. That kind of effort is not going to win games.

Offensively there were a few bright spots, but Greece is not the kind of a team that can get in a shootout with any other team. We still rely on set pieces and counterattacks. We are going to score 1-2 goals but we need to be ahead. Cannot play catch up.

All in all it does seem that we should be happy by just participating in the 2010 World Cup. It certainly looks increasingly likely that we are going to play 3 games and then we go home.

Reports:

FIFA.com: Paraguay see off Greeks in friendly

IN.gr: Ήττα της Εθνικής από την Παραγουάη, αλλά με… κέρδη εν όψει Μουντιάλ

GOAL.com: Greece 0-2 Paraguay: La Albirroja Cruise To Easy Win In Switzerland

Tuesday, June 1, 2010

FIFA World Cup 2010: Greece 23-man Squad

Coach Otto Rehhagel announced the final 23-man squad for the World Cup finals. They are:

Goalkeepers:

Kostas Chalkias (PAOK Thessaloniki), Michalis Sifakis (Aris Thessaloniki), Alexandros Tzorvas (Panathinaikos Athens)

Defenders:

Sotiris Kyrgiakos (Liverpool), Stelios Malezas (PAOK Thessaloniki), Vangelis Moras (Bologna), Avraam Papadopoulos (Olympiakos Piraeus), Sokratis Papastathopoulos (Genoa), Giourkas Seitaridis (Panathinaikos Athens), Nikos Spiropoulos (Panathinaikos Athens), Vassilis Torosidis (Olympiakos Piraeus), Loukas Vyntra (Panathinaikos Athens)

Midfielders:

Giorgos Karagounis (Panathinaikos Athens), Kostas Katsouranis (Panathinaikos Athens), Sotiris Ninis (Panathinaikos Athens), Christos Patsatzoglou (Omonia), Sakis Prittas (Aris Thessaloniki), Alexandros Tziolis (Siena)

Forwards:

Angelos Charisteas (Nurnberg), Fanis Gekas (Eintracht Frankfurt), Pantelis Kapetanos (Steaua Bucharest), Dimitris Salpingidis (Panathinaikos Athens), Georgios Samaras (Celtic)

In the meantime:

  • Nigeria 1 – Colombia 1: Nigeria managed to score in the 70th minute after they injected some youth to the team.
  • Belarus 1 – South Korea 0: A game against a team that “plays like Greece!” They must be getting tired!

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

World Cup 2010 Friendly: Greece 2 – North Korea 2

The second World Cup friendly for Greece and this time around the result is a bit better. At least offensively. However, a draw with North Korea is not exactly a major achievement.

Both goals for Greece were scored from set pieces. Being able to achieve that is very important, especially against South Korea since they have some trouble defending set pieces.

Defensively there still a lot of work to do. If we do not exhibit the kind of tenacious defending, tactical discipline, and strength that we showed in 2004 then we will play 3 games and then go home. So far we have not shown much on the defensive side of the ball. In today’s game we could not contain the North Korean forwards.

In other games:

  • Nigeria 0 – Saudi Arabia 0: Not a very good performance from Nigeria under the guidance of their brand new coach.
  • Argentina 5 – Canada 0: ‘Nough said!

Next (and final) World Cup warm-up game for Greece is on June 2 against Paraguay (which lost 2-1 to the Republic of Ireland today.)

Reports:

GOAL.com: Greece 2-2 North Korea: Rapid-Fire Greeks Held

FIFA.com: Draws all around for finalists

IN.gr: Φιλική ισοπαλία της εθνικής ομάδας με τη Βόρεια Κορέα

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

World Cup 2010: Team Bus Slogans

Hyundai sponsored a competition to come up with creative and inspirational slogans that will adorn the bus of each team participating in the World Cup in South Africa. A few days ago the winning slogans were selected. I guess ‘creative’ is a word that can be used to describe them. ‘Inspirational’ might be a bit of a stretch.

I am not sure who came with these slogans but most of them read like bad inspirational posters. The use words like dream (mentioned in 4 slogans), victory (6 slogans), hope, glory and combinations thereof. They make the ultimate football competition sound like a church sermon.

In my opinion:

Top 5 Good Slogans:

1. New Zealand: Kickin’ it Kiwi style.

Comment: A fun slogan from a laid back country.

2. Brazil: Lotado! O Brasil inteiro está aqui dentro! (Translation: The whole of Brazil is in here!)

Comment: Perfectly true.

3. Netherlands: Let niet op de grote 5, maar pas op voor de oranje 11. (Translation: Don't fear the big five, fear the Orange eleven)

Comment: Finally: Bravado! A winning attitude.

4. Cameroon: Les lions indomptables sont de retour. (Translation:The Indomitable Lions are back)

Comment: More attitude!

5. Greece: Η Ελλάδα είναι παντού! (Translation: Greece is everywhere!)

Comment: Naturally! (Have you checked the newspapers lately?)

Top 3 Lame Slogans:

1. England: Playing with Pride and Glory.

Comment: As inspirational as the movie ‘Pride and Glory.’

2. USA: Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Victory!

Comment: In case of trouble use a line from the Declaration of Independence!

3. Spain: Ilusión es mi camino, Victoria mi destino. (Translation: Hope is my road, victory my destiny)

Comment: Hope + destiny; Next they will hire Miley Cyrus for inspirational pep talks.

4. France: Tous ensemble vers un nouveau rêve bleu. (Translation: All together for a new dream in blue)

Comment: Keep dreaming!

5. Australia: Dare to Dream, Advance Australia.

Comment: More dreaming! 

For the full list of bus slogans see article ‘Winning team bus slogans announced’ posted at the FIFA website.

Friday, May 14, 2010

World Cup 2010: Probability & Odds for Greece

Assuming that each of the 8 groups is an independent microcosm (I think a valid assumption) then the relative probabilities (based on FIFA ranking points per team) that each of the teams will go through the group stage are:

Group A
P(France) = 0.321 
P(Mexico) = 0.288
P(Uruguay) = 0.278
P(South Africa) = 0.113
Group B
P(Argentina) = 0.305
P(Greece) = 0.272
P(Nigeria) = 0.249
P(South Korea) = 0.174
Group C
P(England) = 0.289
P(United States) = 0.257
P(Slovenia) = 0.232
P(Algeria) = 0.222
Group D
P(Germany) = 0.296
P(Serbia) = 0.253
P(Australia) = 0.236
P(Ghana) = 0.215
Group E
P(Netherlands) = 0.344
P(Cameroon) = 0.250
P(Denmark) = 0.216
P(Japan) = 0.190
Group F
P(Italy) = 0.375
P(Paraguay) = 0.260
P(Slovakia) = 0.235
P(New Zealand) = 0.130
Group G
P(Brazil) = 0.403
P(Portugal) = 0.312
P(Ivory Coast) = 0.212
P(North Korea) = 0.073
Group H
P(Spain) = 0.382
P(Chile) = 0.232
P(Switzerland) = 0.209
P(Honduras) = 0.178

The odds that Greece will go through the group stage are:

0.272 / (1 - 0.272) = 0.374 or about 3:8

The odds against are 8:3.

In general, Group B is difficult but it seems that the most competitive groups are C and D. And although Group G is the group of death, the probability that Brazil and Portugal will advance to the round of 16 is very high.

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

FIFA World Ranking Top 20: May 2010

Rank (previous) Team Points Comment
1 (2) Brazil 1611 Group G
2 (1) Spain 1565 Group H
3 (4) Portugal 1249 Group G
4 (3) Netherlands 1221 Group E
5 (5) Italy 1184 Group F
6 (6) Germany 1107 Group D
7 (9) Argentina 1084 Group B
8 (7) England 1068 Group C
9 (10) Croatia 1052 N/A
10 (8) France 1044 Group A
11 (12) Russia 1003 N/A
12 (11) Greece 968 Group B
13 (14) Egypt 967 N/A
14 (16) USA 950 Group C
15 (13) Chile 948 Group H
16 (15) Serbia 944 Group D
17 (17) Mexico 936 Group A
18 (18) Uruguay 902 Group A
19 (20) Cameroon 887 Group E
20 (21) Nigeria 883 Group B
20 (19) Australia 883 Group D

Point adjustments for all teams, resulting in Brazil returning to the top spot. Last time Brazil was ranked #1 was November 2009. Spain dropped to #2 while Portugal is now #3 (unjustified.) Argentine also moved up a couple of spots (justified.)

Based on the current ranking, just one month before the start of the World Cup, Groups A, B, and D each have 3 teams in the top 20. Groups C, E, G, and H each have 2 teams in the top 20. Group F is the only group that has only one top 20 team (Italy…)

The next game for Greece is a World Cup friendly against Korea DPR at home on May 25.

The latest full table can be found at the FIFA World Ranking website.

Monday, April 19, 2010

World Cup 2010: The Aerodynamics Of Jabulani

Jabulani is the name of the official ball of the World Cup in South Africa made by Adidas (like all balls since 1970.) Jabulani means ‘to celebrate’ in Zulu. The ball was unveiled last December in Cape Town.

Adidas posted a few of videos about the ball. In the videos they mention that the design of the ball took 6 years (!!) and that is made of eight thermally bonded 3D panels and is perfectly round. In one of the videos they show the whole manufacturing process which is pretty amazing for a ball.

In a couple of other videos they talk about the aerodynamic design of the ball.

In one of them they initially show flow past a smooth sphere in a wind tunnel.

Flow past sphere_

In the video frame shown here the streamlines are clearly visible as the air flows from left to right. Because of viscous effects (friction, thermal conduction, etc) the flow separates over the back of the ball creating a recirculating flow (i.e. turbulent wake) downstream of body. This separated flow is responsible for the pressure (or form) drag which contributes greatly to the total drag of the ball thus affecting its flight performance characteristics.

In the video, the separation points seem to be either ahead of the maximum thickness of the sphere or very close to it. That indicates a Reynolds number (Re) that is less than 5e5 (for a smooth sphere.) For such an Re the separation points form at about 82 degrees measured from the stagnation point (front center of the sphere.)

The dimensionless Reynolds number (named after its discoverer, Osborne Reynolds) is a measure of the ratio of inertia forces to viscous forces in a flow. It is given by Re = rVL/m, where V is the free stream velocity, r is the free stream density, L is the characteristic length of the body immersed in the fluid (in this case the diameter), and m is the free stream viscosity coefficient.

Assuming that a standard size 5 smooth ball (about 0.23 m in diameter) would fly in standard air (constant r = 1.2 kgr/m3) at 90 km/hr (25 m/sec) after a decent kick the Re would equal:

Re = 1.2 * 25 *0.23 /1002e-6 = 6.9e+3

This is well within the regime of Re < 5e+5. Above that the separation points would move further back and thus pressure drag would actually reduce. That is because the boundary layer (a thin layer of fluid very close to the surface of the body that the viscous effects matter) would transition from laminar to turbulent which separates at about 125 degrees (measured from the forward stagnation point.) This results in a thinner turbulent wake with higher pressures and a lower drag coefficient for the transition point (i.e Re ~ 5e+5 for the sphere.)

However, it would be impossible to achieve something like in football (i.e. the velocity of the ball in flight would have to be a few thousands km/hr!) Therefore another technique is needed to push the stagnation points further back and reduce the turbulent wake and thus the pressure drag.

Enter the ridges!

Jabulani_2

Later in the video the ball replaces the sphere in the wind tunnel but unfortunately they do not show the flow pattern around the ball, presumably to protect proprietary information. The engineering manager for Adidas, Dr. Tim Lucas, explains that the designers spent a lot of time on the design of the ridges on the ball and ‘they play a very important role so that the ball is stable in flight.

Presumably, the ridges break up the laminar flow within the boundary layer and transition it to turbulent at much lower Re thereby reducing the form drag and improving flight performance. The ‘rough’ surface of Jabulani should lower the critical Reynolds number and possibly make sudden drop in drag coefficient attainable, which would be a pain for goalkeepers!

Finally, these effects would affect the bending of the ball. If the critical Re is low enough to be in the region relevant to football then you could have Re larger than the critical one. In that case a kick that adds backspin to the ball would cause separation on the bottom side to occur earlier than on the top side. Therefore the bottom side will incur higher pressure and thus generate a higher upward force (lift.) Higher lift would result in longer balls and possibly flatter trajectories. More bad news for the goalkeepers!!

Sunday, April 11, 2010

FIFA World Ranking Top 20: April 2010

Rank (previous) Team Points Comment
1 (1) Spain 1602  
2 (2) Brazil 1589  
3 (3) Netherlands 1261  
4 (6) Portugal 1214  
5 (4) Italy 1183 Cameroon managed a scoreless tie in Italy.
6 (5) Germany 1157 Lost to Argentina at home.
7 (8) England 1120 Won 3-1 over Egypt at home.
8 (7) France 1171 Lost to Spain at home. No blame for this one!
9 (9) Argentina 1075  
10 (11) Croatia 1051  
11 (10) Greece 1032 Slipped one place after the loss to Senegal.
12 (12) Russia 1009
13 (14) Chile 974  
14 (17) Egypt 967 Hm! Something is wrong with this ranking.
15 (13) Serbia 950  
16 (18) USA 948 Lost to Holland and gained!
17 (15) Mexico 921  
18 (19) Uruguay 902  
19 (23) Australia 898 Won a Continental Qualifier at home against the powerhouse of Indonesia!
20 (20) Cameroon 887  
20 (15) Switzerland 887 Lost to Uruguay at home.

No major changes. The next game for Greece is a World Cup friendly against Korea DPR at home on May 25.

Full table at the FIFA World Ranking website.

Thursday, March 18, 2010

EA Sports: 2010 FIFA World Cup Preview

I am addicted to soccer video games from EA SPORTS. I prefer the versions for the national teams (World Cup and EURO competitions) especially when Greece participates. I usually play the games on the PSP (the older version with the disks, not the GO) set at some manageable level (e.g. semi-pro) that allows to destroy the competition and win the cup a few times.

Apart from my nationalistic hedonism they are fun games with an amazing level of detail, even on the PSP system. In addition, graphics-wise each version is much better than the previous one. There is no comparison between say WC2006 and EURO 2008. The latter is a lot more detailed, accurate, closer to the game physics, with better cinematics, and can be very complex (if you aspire to be a pro.) It is probably the only video game that I buy at full price when it releases!

I am looking forward to the WC2010 release.

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

World Cup 2010 Friendly: Greece 0 – Senegal 2

Bad news! An uninspiring performance by Greece in a friendly at home with a Senegalese team that theoretically has a playing style similar to that of Nigeria (though according to the Senegalese coach ‘they are quicker than the Nigerians.’) Granted, it was a friendly with a lot of absences (e.g. see U21 game) and substitutions for Greece that affected the cohesion of the team but still losing 2-0 at home to a team that it is not even close to the same level as Greece could at least affect morale.

The rest of Group B had much better days:

  • Argentina won away 1-0 against Germany.
  • Nigeria won at home 5-2 against Congo.
  • Korea won away 2-0 against Didier Drogba’s Cote d’Ivoire.

After the game Coach Otto Rehhagel said that ‘we have a lot of work ahead of us.’ That could be an understatement given the good form of the other 3 teams in Group B. Obviously it is not the end of the world. Hopefully, It will serve as a reminder that we only have about 3 months before we play for real.

Reports:

GOAL.com: Greece 0-2 Senegal: Mamadou Niang Gives Coach Amara Traore First Win

UEFA.com: Senegal give Greece food for thought

On a much more positive note, the Greek U21 squad defeated England U21 on an away game! Now we only need 1 point in the final group stage away game against FYROM to win first place in Group 9 (Greece, England, Portugal, Lithuania, FYROM.)

 

Rank Teams P Pts
1 Greece Greece 6 13
2 England England 5 11
3 Portugal Portugal 5 7
4 Lithuania Lithuania 6 5
5 FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia 6 2

 

Reports:

GOAL.com: England U-21 1-2 Greece U-21: Stuart Pearce’s Side Sink At The Keepmoat Stadium

Guardian.co.uk: Gifted Greeks too good for Stuart Pearce's under-par England

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

GDP per Capita versus FIFA Rank III

In earlier post titled GDP per Capita versus FIFA Rank I made the observation that the data must follow a binomial distribution. In a second post on the same subject I observed that the split between high and low GDP per capita countries is quite balanced.

To verify the above observations I will follow my posted axiom and transform the data!
I used MATLAB to generate a data plot, a lag plot, a histogram, and a normal probability plot:

y = GDPcapita *1e-3;


subplot(221)
plot(y, '.-', 'markersize', 10)



subplot(222)
plot(y(2:n),y(1:n-1), '*b')



subplot(223)
hist(y, 8)



subplot(224)
normplot(y) % This requires the Statistics Toolbox



FIFARankvsGDPCapita2
Observations:
  1. The run sequence plot shows a clear sinusoidal pattern (fixed location, fixed variation.)
  2. The lag plot also shows a non-random sinusoidal pattern.
  3. The histogram shows a bimodal distribution with noise.
  4. The normal probability plot is useless since we already know that the data are not random.
Since the data follows a sinusoidal pattern then the histogram of the data ought to be symmetric and bimodal. The two extremes are the max and min amplitude and the rest of the data points fall in between the two extreme bins. For example:

FIFARankvsGDPCapita_III_00
However, the histogram of the GDP per capita data for the WC2010 countries does not have such a clean shape. It actually looks like a binomial distribution mixed with an error component. It turns out that the error component is described fairly well by a uniform distribution.

To test this it is sufficient to create a sinusoidal pattern mixed with uniformly distributed pseudo-random noise.
 
% MODEL
t = 0:pi/2:15*pi;
v = cos(t);



%ADD PSEUDO-RANDOMNESS
r = rand( 1,length(t) );
vv = v + r; vv = vv ./max(vv);


% DATA
y = GDPCapita;
yy = y - mean(y); % DEMEAN
yy = yy ./max(yy); % NORMALIZE AMPLITUDE


FIFARankvsGDPCapita_III_01
I run the model a few times using the pseudo-random number generator and the results were reasonable. Though not sophisticated, the model seems to be sufficient to show that at least for WC2010 countries the GDP per capita  and FIFA rank are related through a sinusoidal function that results in a bimodal distribution with a uniformly distributed error component!

I cannot imagine that such behaviour is common for past World Cups. However, it is one more observation which shows that money makes little-to-no difference in football at the national level.

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

FIFA World Ranking Top 20: February 2010

Rank (previous) Team Points Comment
1 (1) Spain 1627  
2 (2) Brazil 1568  
3 (3) Netherlands 1288  
4 (4) Italy 1209  
5 (5) Portugal 1176  
6 (6) Germany 1173  
7 (7) France 1117  
8 (8) Argentina 1082  
9 (9) England 1076  
10 (24) Egypt 1069 A meteoric rise and the highest ranking ever!
11 (10) Croatia 1053  
12 (13) Greece 1030 A slight adjustment in points.
13 (12) Russia 1026  
14 (14) USA 963  
15 (22) Nigeria 956 Another African country that gained significantly.
16 (15) Chile 955  
17 (17) Mexico 947  
18 (18) Switzerland 924  
19 (19) Serbia 916  
20 (11) Cameroon 914 Naturally some African country must have suffered!

January 2010 was the month for the Africa Cup of Nations, a biennial competition that Egypt apparently owns! Egypt defended their title and shot up the rankings to reach to their highest position ever. It seems that Egypt destroyed most of the competition (Ghana, Cameroon, Nigeria, Algeria, Benin, and Mozambique).

Cote d’Ivoire reached the quarter finals and lost to Algeria. BTW, it seems that reaching the quarter finals is fairly automatic for the good African teams since they beat up on the likes of Burkina Faso, Mali, Benin, etc. Therefore, Ivory Coast dropped out of the top 20 and they do not seem like serious competition for Brazil and Portugal.

Algeria reached the semi finals and lost to Egypt (4-0!)

Nigeria managed wins against ‘powerhouses’ Benin, Mozambique, and Zambia (in penalties) before losing to Ghana. They finished third and they reached the 15th spot. (If Greece is serious the round of 16 is possible.)

Full table can be found at FIFA World Ranking.

Thursday, January 28, 2010

GDP per Capita versus FIFA Rank II

Some observation based on the plot shown in the post GDP per Capita versus FIFA Rank:

1. This year 17 countries have GDP per capita that is above average and 15 countries have GDP per capita that is below the World Cup (WC) 2010 average. It is almost an even split!

Question: Could that be the case for other World Cups?

Answer: Most probably.

The reason is that all African countries and all of the South American countries (including French Guiana) have a GDP per capita that is below the WC average. Africa normally gets 5 births (6 this year) and South America 4.5 births. Therefore, unless the economic landscape of the world changes dramatically, at least a third of the countries participating in the WC will have low GDP per capita.

On the flip side most European countries (13 births) have a GDP per capita that is above the WC average. Therefore, by definition, at least a third of the countries participating in the WC will have high GDP per capita.

Finally, the exact distribution would be defined by the participants from North+Central America and Asia+Oceania. However, I would expect it to be close to a 50-50 split with a bias towards the higher GDP.

The data are definitely biased by the distribution of WC births per continent!

2. Another thing:

  • From the top 5 countries 1 has low GDP per capita (20%)
  • From the top 10 countries 3 have low GDP per capita (30%)
  • From the top 15 countries 6 have low GDP per capita (40%)
  • From the top 20 countries 9 have low GDP per capita (45%)
  • From the top 25 countries 11 have low GDP per capita (44%)
  • From the all 32 countries 15 have low GDP per capita (47%)

That is outside the top 5 the distribution between high and low GDP per capita countries is balanced. Money and the quality of the national leagues seem to have limited impact to the ranking of the national team. As it should be!